Moderate Growth in
the Global Polyethylene Industry
The global polyethylene market is experiencing a period
of slow growth as China and India, which are key drivers of demand in the Asia-Pacific
region, are witnessing low Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates due to the
slowing of the manufacturing sectors and currency decline. This has had an
adverse impact upon polyethylene demand and, with lower than historic GDP
growth forecast for China and other developing countries in Asia, lower growth
in petrochemical product demand is also expected.
Europe, where demand has increased slightly over the last
decade, is expected to perform better in the next five years. The market in the
US, where prices for natural gas are lower and investment in the petrochemical
industry is rising, is forecast to grow due to higher demand from both its
domestic and export markets compared with the trend over the last 10 years.
China and Russia are forecast to be the largest
contributors to new capacity over the next five years; both are expected to add
more than 3.5 million metric tons per year (mmty) of capacity during this
period. India will rank third with more than 2.5 mmty of new capacity likely to
come on-stream over the next five years.
Asia-Pacific to
Continue to Drive Polyethylene Demand
Although emerging economies in the Asia-Pacific region
have slowed over the last two years, polyethylene demand is still forecast to
grow at a faster pace than in other regions and so will continue to drive the
industry. Polyethylene demand is forecast to increase by 8.23 mmty in
Asia-Pacific, a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.8% over the next five
years. Demand in North America, South America, Europe, and the Middle East and
Africa is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.4%, 3.3%, 2.8% and 3.7%,
respectively.
China and Russia to
Add the Most Capacity through 2018
China and Russia are expected to add the most capacity
over the next five years, accounting for 13.1% and 12.5% of global capacity
additions. This capacity will be almost entirely in the form of new plants.
China is expanding its polyethylene capacity, primarily
to satisfy demand from its growing population. The country’s per capita
plastics consumption is still significantly lower than in the developed world,
providing opportunities for further expansion. Russia is expanding its
polyethylene capacity in an effort to enhance its position in the
petrochemicals sector and reduce its reliance upon imports.
Spanning over 50 pages, “Global
Polyethylene Industry - Emerging Markets in Asia-Pacific to Drive Modest Growth”
report covering the Global Polyethylene Capacity - Asia-Pacific and the Middle
East and Africa to Drive Capacity, Global Polyethylene Industry - Modest Growth
Rate Expected Over the Next Five Years, Major Companies Active in the Global
Polyethylene Industry, Conclusion, Appendix.
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